glaser2 - Chapter 2:The Case of Context I. The racial...

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Chapter 2:The Case of Context I. The racial balance in which a congressional election takes place leads candidates of the two parties to campaign in certain ways and with certain messages II. The more heavily black the southern county, the more racially conservative white racial-political attitudes tend to be III. Racial Variations and Calculations IV. The larger the black population, the bigger the head start the Democratic candidates have V. Democrats must balance their need to maximize black turnout with their quest to hold on to a significant minority of whites VI. Hypothesis 1: In Majority white districts the larger the black percentage the more important it is for the Republican candidate to win a larger share of the white vote and the more likely whites are to respond to an issue of race. Republicans will introduce a racial issue in order to unite the white voters VII. Hypothesis 2: In a majority white district the larger the black percentage the more likely Democrats will be to risk white votes to win black votes, at no
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glaser2 - Chapter 2:The Case of Context I. The racial...

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