prelims_Macro Prelim ANSWERS Sept 2007

prelims_Macro Prelim ANSWERS Sept 2007 - Answer Key for the...

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Unformatted text preview: Answer Key for the September 2007 Macro Prelim 1. Imagine a representative consumer with time separable, logarithmic utility, V = (1 & & ) E t X 1 j =0 & j ln C t + j ; (1) where < & < 1 . Consumption is an element of an exogenous random vector X t which evolves according to X t +1 = ¡ + AX t + " t +1 ; (2) where " t ¡ iid N (0 ; &) : Suppose that A has a single unit eigenvalue, with all other eigenvalues less than 1 in magnitude. For convenience, assume that ln C t is the &rst element of the vector X t : Assume ¡su¢ cient discounting.£(This is intentionally vague; the context should become clear as you develop your answer.) Derive the consumer£s value function. (Hint: There are at least two ways to solve this, a recursive and a nonrecursive approach. The recursive approach is a lot easier. The nonrecursive approach turns into an algebraic quagmire.) ANSWER: The Bellman equation is V ( X t ) = (1 & & ) U ( C t ) + &E t V ( X t +1 ) : The max operator drops out of the rhs because this is an endowment economy. From (1) and (2), it is obvious that the value function is linear in X t : This follows from the fact that expected utility is linear in expectations of ln C t + j and that those ex- pectations are linear in X t : Thus, I conjecture that the value function is linear in X t V ( X t ) = b + b 1 X t ; where b is a scalar and b 1 is a row vector conformable with X: We just need to solve for the undetermined coe¢ cients b and b 1 : After substituting the conjecture into the Bellman equation, we get b + b 1 X t = (1 & & ) U ( C t ) + &E t [ b + b 1 X t +1 ] ; = (1 & & ) e 1 X t + & [ b + b 1 E t X t +1 ] ; where e 1 is a selector vector (i.e., a row vector with a 1 in the &rst position and zeros everywhere else). Next, substitute the expectation of next period£s X : b + b 1 X t = (1 & & ) e 1 X t + & [ b + b 1 ( ¡ + AX t )] : After a bit of algebra, we get b + b 1 X t = & ( b + b 1 ¡ ) + [(1 & & ) e 1 + &b 1 A ] X t : 1 Equating powers on the left and right-hand sides implies b = & ( b + b 1 ¡ ) ; b 1 = (1 & & ) e 1 + &b 1 A: Solve the second condition for b 1 : b 1 & &b 1 A = (1 & & ) e 1 ; b 1 ( I & &A ) = (1 & & ) e 1 ; b 1 = (1 & & ) e 1 ( I & &A ) & 1 : After substituting the solution into the condition for b , we get b = &e 1 ( I & &A ) & 1 ¡: This veri&es the conjecture. Hence the value function is V ( X t ) = e 1 ( I & &A ) & 1 [ &¡ + (1 & & ) X t ] : 2. Consider a two-period overlapping generations model in which people work when young and retire when old. Consumers maximize ln( c 1 t ) + (1 + ¢ ) & 1 ln( c 2 t +1 ) ; subject to the ¡ow budget constraints c 1 t + s t = w t ; c 2 t +1 = (1 + r t +1 ) s t : c 1 and c 2 represent consumption when young and old, respectively, and w t is labor income, s t is savings, r t +1 is the real interest rate earned on saving, and (1 + ¢ ) & 1 is the subjective discount factor....
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This note was uploaded on 02/09/2010 for the course ECON 200D taught by Professor Pontusrendahl during the Winter '06 term at UC Davis.

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prelims_Macro Prelim ANSWERS Sept 2007 - Answer Key for the...

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