1669886 - PNNL- 1 1452 Risk-Based Versus Deterministic...

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Unformatted text preview: PNNL- 1 1452 Risk-Based Versus Deterministic Explosives Safety Criteria R. E. Wright December 1996 Prepared for the U.S. Department of Defense under a Related Services Agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract DE-AC06-76RLO 1830 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland, Washington 99352 DISCLAIMER Portions of this document may be illegible in electronic image products. Images are produced from the best available original dOCUIIlent. Acknowledgments The author would like to express his gratitude to Andreas Bienz and Peter Kummer of Bienz, Kummer and Partner, Ltd. for performing the risk calculations used as examples in this report, for their technical contributions and review comments, and for their historical information about the development of a risk- based approach to explosives safety. Thanks are also extended to additional contributors of information to this report: Paul Price of the Headquarters Air Force Safety Center; Dr. Jerry Ward of the Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board (DDESB); Michael Swisdak, Jr. of the Naval Surface Warfare Center; Joseph Jenus, Jr. of AFMC/ ASC OL LIW(EHR); and Edward Jacobs and James Wassenberg of Integrated Systems Analysts, Inc. The author would also like to especially thank Dr. Canada of the DDESB for giving us the opportunity to con- duct this study and for his support and guidance throughout the project. ... Acknowledgments The author would like to express his gratitude to Andreas Bienz and Peter Kummer of Bienz, Kummer and Partner, Ltd. for performing the risk calculations used as examples in this report, for their technical contributions and review comments, and for their historical information about the development of a risk- based approach to explosives safety. Thanks are also extended to additional contributors of information to this report: Paul Price of the Headquarters Air Force Safety Center; Dr. Jerry Ward of the Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board (DDESB); Michael Swisdak, Jr. of the Naval Surface Warfare Center; Joseph Jenus, Jr. of AFMC/ ASC OL LIW(EHR); and Edward Jacobs and James Wassenberg of Integrated Systems Analysts, Inc. The author would also like to especially thank Dr. Canada of the DDESB for giving us the opportunity to con- duct this study and for his support and guidance throughout the project. ... 111 Executive Summary The Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board (DDESB) is actively considering ways to apply risk-based approaches in its decision-making processes. As such, an understanding of the impact of con- verting to risk-based criteria is required. The objectives of this project are to examine the benefits and drawbacks of risk-based criteria and to define the impact of converting from deterministic to risk-based criteria. Conclusions will be couched in terms that allow meaningfbl comparisons of deterministic and risk-based approaches. To this end, direct comparisons of the consequences and impacts of both deterministic and risk-based criteria at selected military installations are made. deterministic and risk-based criteria at selected military installations are made....
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1669886 - PNNL- 1 1452 Risk-Based Versus Deterministic...

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