Ch. 1: Thinking Critically with Psychological Science
The Limits of Psychological Science and Common Sense
Did We Know It All Along? The Hindsight Bias
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Hindsight bias (I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon)- finding out that something has happened
makes it seem inevitable
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Can seem like common sense after the fact
Common sense describes what has happened more easily than it predicts what will happen
Overconfidence
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Human tendency to be overconfident
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Anagrams
The Scientific Attitude
Curious skepticism
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What do you mean?
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How do you know?
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Show me the evidence
Need the humility to reject our own ideas
Critical thinking- smart thinking that examines assumptions, discerns hidden values, evaluates
evidence, and assesses conclusions
The Scientific Method
Theory- an explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes and predicts
observations
Hypothesis- a testable prediction, often implied by a theory
Operational definition- a statement of the procedures used to define research variables
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Intelligence- what an intelligence test measures
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- Spring '08
- jackson
- Psychology, Hindsight bias, natural environment Correlation
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