Copy of ECon 125 assignment 1- Alex

Copy of ECon 125 assignment 1- Alex - 0.9445230 0.9473081...

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Assignment 1 Alex Swan A06975264 Question 1: Use Synthetic method to project ASBR Projection SD 2010 CA 2010 CA 2015 SD 2015 Age Group Rate Rate Rate 15 to 19 35.6 34.5 32.9 33.97 -5% 20 to 24 94.2 90.9 84.6 87.63 -7% 25 to 29 113.7 113.6 106.0 106.07 -7% 30 to 34 105.3 112.4 117.7 110.2 5% 35 to 39 58.8 59.2 61.8 61.46 5% 40 to 44 14.2 15.1 16.6 15.63 10% TFR 2,109.0 TFR 2074.79 -2% Question 2:Use the Targetting method to project the SD Female Survivial Ra U.S., 2010 U.S., 2015 Age Group 0.98599438 0.9860845 0.9864315 0.99 0 to 4 0.99122222 0.9912339 0.9912788 0.99 5 to 9 0.99122883 0.9912404 0.9912850 0.99 10 to 14 0.99084481 0.9908621 0.9909289 0.99 15 to 19 0.99051780 0.9905400 0.9906257 0.99 20 to 24 0.99023989 0.9902663 0.9903680 0.99 25 to 29 0.98986977 0.9899017 0.9900248 0.99 30 to 34 0.98857315 0.9886246 0.9888226 0.99 35 to 39 0.98628290 0.9863687 0.9866990 0.99 40 to 44 0.98349723 0.9836248 0.9841161 0.98 45 to 49 0.97959794 0.9797840 0.9805006 0.98 50 to 54 0.97233373 0.9726287 0.9737651 0.97 55 to 59 0.96122075 0.9616824 0.9634610 0.96 60 to 64 0.94379997
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Unformatted text preview: 0.9445230 0.9473081 0.95 65 to 69 0.91541948 0.9169511 0.9209933 0.92 70 to 74 0.87585460 0.8781775 0.8843081 0.88 75 to 79 0.80713376 0.8108311 0.8205890 0.82 80+ 0.58011981 0.5887574 0.5915536 0.59 Question 3: Explain changes in SD ASBR from 2010 to 2015 % Change (rounded) San Diego County, 2010 SD Projection 2015 Infant 1 The largest increase in ASBR was in the 30-44 year old age range. The largest decreases were in the 15 to 29 year old range. This illustrates that women that are older and more comfortable in the workforce are chosing to have children. Utilizing Easterlin's theory, this illustrates the presence of "large cohorts", where there is greater job competition and people have children later and have fewer children. This is further proven in the TFR's decline by -1.62%. % Change-4.58-6.98-6.71 4.65 4.52 10.07-1.62 ates...
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This note was uploaded on 02/17/2010 for the course ECON 125 taught by Professor Tayman during the Spring '08 term at UCSD.

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Copy of ECon 125 assignment 1- Alex - 0.9445230 0.9473081...

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