ECE1040.02.post

ECE1040.02.post - Von Neumann & the Bomb Strategy is...

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Strategy is not concerned with the efficient application of force but with the exploitation of potential force (T. Schelling, 1960, p. 5).
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UNIT I: Overview & History Introduction: What is Game Theory? Von Neumann and the Bomb The Science of International Strategy Logic of Indeterminate Situations 2/4
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A Brief History of Game Theory Dr.Strangelove The Science of International Strategy The Prisoner’s Dilemma Securing Insecure Agreements Postwar Economic Regimes
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A Brief History of Game Theory Minimax Theorem 1928 Theory of Games & Economic Behavior 1944 Nash Equilibrium 1950 Prisoner’s Dilemma 1950 The Evolution of Cooperation 1984
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Dr. Strangelove John von Neumann (1907-53). Hilbert program Quantum mechanics ENIAC The Doomsday Machine
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The Doctrine of Military Decision Step 1: The Mission Step 2: Situation and Courses of Action Step 3: Analysis of Opposing Courses of Action Step 4: Comparison of Available Courses of Action Step 5: The Decision Source: O.G. Hayward, Jr., Military Decisions and Game Theory (1954).
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Military Decision & Game Theory A military commander may approach decision with either of two philosophies. He may select his course of action on the basis of his estimate of what his enemy is able to do to oppose him. Or, he may make his selection on the basis of his estimate of what his enemy is going to do . The former is a doctrine of decision based on enemy capabilities; the latter on enemy intentions. (O. G. Hayward, Jr. 1954: 365)
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Military Decision & Game Theory Source: O. G. Hayward, Jr. 1954 Southern Route BISMARCK SEA Northern Route Rain Clear Weather New Guinea New Britain Northern Route Southern Route Northern Southern Route Route 2 days 2 days 1 day 3 days Japan US Battle of the Bismarck Sea, 1943
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Military Decision & Game Theory Source: O. G. Hayward, Jr. 1954 Southern Route BISMARCK SEA Northern Route Rain Clear Weather New Guinea New Britain Northern Route Southern Route Northern Southern Route Route 2 days 2 days 2 1 day 3 days 1 Japan US Battle of the Bismarck Sea, 1943 US min 2 1 Jmax 2 3
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ECE1040.02.post - Von Neumann & the Bomb Strategy is...

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