10.Fertility_Immigration_10 - 10. Conclude fertility, start...

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Ronald Lee Econ/Demog 175 February 19, 2009 10. Conclude fertility, start immigration (1)
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Announcement Harrison Dekker’s pdf file that you could not see in class on Tuesday is posted on bSpace under Resources/data_Lab.pdf He will hold four special sections next week on data access. Highly recommended! To get the most out of these sections, try to choose a paper topic in advance. Then you can get specific advice and focus on particular data sets.
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Announcements GSI OH at regular times next week (see bspace). Next week's sections are led by Harrison Dekker. Location: 105 Doe Library . Wed 2/24 2-3 Thu 2/25 4-5 Fri 2/26 1-2 Fri 2/26 2-3 PS3: Revised version of PS3 has now been posted! Q1 and Q2 are due Tues, 2/23. Q3 is due via EMAIL on Fri, 2/26. This gives you an extra day to think about your term paper topic.
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Readings for next Tuesday George Borjas (1999) “The Skills of Immigrants” Ch. 2 of Heaven’s Door, in your Reader, pp.19-31 (In your Reader: 261-274). New Americans, “Immigration’s Effects on Jobs and Wages: First Principles”, pp.135- 142; 151-157 (In your Reader: 276-292)
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An email message from a 175 student last year re term paper I want to thank you for having us write that econ 175 research paper. In fact, I'm using that paper as my sample writing for an interview with the Bureau of Labor Statistics in DC for an economist position next week. Having us use raw data for an econ paper was a very useful experience. I did not expect I would be needing these papers I wrote in college. This may be a nice tip for future students to encourage them to work harder on their research papers, they may find these papers to be very useful even after college.
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Midterm will be on the 15 th day of class, Tuesday, March 9. Today is lecture 10 Four more lectures before the midterm. We will do immigration in the remaining classes before the midterm. Midterm will cover through immigration .
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Lecture plan for today Discussion of incentives to have one more or less birth than initially chosen. Outlook for fertility in industrial nations (Feyrer et al on Stork) Start Immigration: Introduction and demographic background.
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Average responses to fertility survey Feb 16, 2010 1. Intended number of children = 1.94 (last year: 1.97, essentially the same) 2. Minimum incentive needed to have one more child than this = $522K (last year $535K) 3. Minimum incentive needed to have one less than this = $567 (last year $599K). How interpret these numbers in terms of our theoretical analysis and diagram?
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Points to note Your mean intended fertility is essentially 2 kids, which is very similar to average responses for all young adults in the US and in Europe. Suppose an incentive payment gets you to have one more than your optimal (or intended) number.
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This note was uploaded on 03/30/2010 for the course ECON 175 taught by Professor Lee during the Spring '08 term at University of California, Berkeley.

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10.Fertility_Immigration_10 - 10. Conclude fertility, start...

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