Unformatted text preview: I leaned towards the GFS since it was doing better in terms of timing of storm systems. With clearer skies in the earlier part of the night, I thought temperatures had room to drop before the thick cloud cover had time to move in. The daytime period was guaranteed to have verified rain. With the trough axis being slightly negatively tilted, that would allow more moisture into the area from the Gulf of Mexico. Things did not turn out as I had hoped. Cloud cover rolled into the region by 04Z or 05Z giving us absolutely no time for the lower troposphere to cool. The temperature held steady at 56-58 degrees during the overnight, and did not move much at all during the daytime period with a cold front moving through the area at 17Z. Moisture associated with the storm system ended up to be much less than what I actually thought, the rain showers tended to be more scattered in nature. With flow more southerly than southeasterly, Atlantic moisture was not as pronounced....
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- Fall '08
- Meteorology, Precipitation, Rain, Thunderstorm, Forecasting Forecast Forecast