Quizmaster

Quizmaster - the big prize, he picks one of the other two...

Info iconThis preview shows page 1. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
The quizmaster offers you the choice of doors 1, 2 or 3. A big prize lies behind one door (chosen at random), while the other doors hide valueless booby prizes. You arbitrarily pick door number 1; the probability that this door has the big prize is 1/3. The quizmaster now starts opening doors. To heighten suspense, the first door he opens will not be the door you picked and will not be the door with the big prize. (If you have picked the door with
Background image of page 1
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

Unformatted text preview: the big prize, he picks one of the other two doors at random to open.) Let's say he opens door number 2 to reveal a booby prize. At this point, he offers to let you switch to door number 3. Should you switch? To answer this, you must figure out the conditional probability that the big prize is behind each of the doors, given the above information....
View Full Document

This note was uploaded on 05/04/2010 for the course STAT 116 taught by Professor Ross during the Spring '08 term at Stanford.

Ask a homework question - tutors are online