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Princeton Engineering 6

Princeton Engineering 6 - Plug in a few numbers Press the...

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Plug in a few numbers. Press the Calculate button. And just like that, a number pops out, displaying your quarterback’s performance. 31.4? He had a bad day. 128.7? He put up a show. I would like to say that the NFL Quarterback Rating Formula precisely measures quarterback performance, but unfortunately it doesn’t. The problem is two-fold. First, anything relevant to an evaluation must be included for perfect measurements. Presently the formula includes attempts, completions, passing yards, passing touchdowns, and interceptions as metrics for determining a quarterback’s rating. But the formula also lacks sacks, composure, and fumbles, among many other elements, that are also crucial in order to determine quarterback performance. What’s more, these elements need to be precisely quantified. However, this is inherently impossible because that asks for quantification of qualitative aspects. These two problems – gathering predictors and quantifying predictors – form the fundamentals of what statistical modeling is based on.
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