CH%2012_P1

CH%2012_P1 - Problem 1 Section 14.9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11...

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Problem 1 Section 14.9 Page 1 Chapter 12 Problem 1 Simtable #ADDIN? Activity D S C P B W M T I L Duration #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? New Duration #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? Completed Start D S C P,M B,W I,T L Node 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Occurs at 0 #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? Project duration After 1 #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? After-Before Outputs Occurs at / L Simulation 1 Statistics / Cell $I$12 Simulation Results for CH 12_P1.XLS Minimum 29.49 Maximum 57.1 Iterations= 100 Mean 41.5 Simulations= 10 Standard Deviation 5.61 # Input Variables= 11 Variance 31.49 # Output Variables= 2 Skewness 0.47 Sampling Type= Latin Hypercube Kurtosis 2.87 Runtime= 00:01:05 Number of Errors 0 Mode 36.89 5.0% 33.69 10.0% 34.66 15.0% 35.62 B 20.0% 36.34 6 25.0% 36.98 D S L 30.0% 37.65 1 2 P 7 8 35.0% 39.04 40.0% 39.53 C 45.0% 40 4 50.0% 40.91 55.0% 41.82 Summary Statistics 60.0% 42.6 65.0% 43.11 Cell Name Minimum Mean Maximum 70.0% 43.94 !I14 D 0.01 0.01 0.01 1 75.0% 44.32 !I14 S 0 8.00E-03 0.01 0.8 80.0% 45.57 !I14 C 0 0 0.01 0.2 85.0% 47.3 !I14 P 0 0 0 0 90.0% 49.54 !I14 B 0 8.00E-03 0.01 0.8 95.0% 51.49 !I14 W 0 0 0.01 0.2 Filter Minimum !I14 M 0 0 0 0 Part c Filter Maximum !I14 T 0 0 0 0 Type (1 or 2) !I14 I 0.01 0.01 0.01 1 # Values Filtered 0 !I14 L 0.01 0.01 0.01 1 Scenario #1 >75% Scenario #2 <25% Scenario #3 >90% Target #1 (Value) 50 Target #1 (Perc%) 91.6% Part a Target #2 (Value) 55 Target #2 (Perc%) 99.2% Part b 0.8% A B C D E F G H I J K L M 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57
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@RISK Summary Report General Information Workbook Name CH 12_P1.xls Number of Simulations 10 Number of Iterations 100 Number of Inputs 11 Number of Outputs 2 Sampling Type Latin Hypercube Simulation Start Time 4/13/10 10:34:33 Simulation Stop Time 4/13/10 10:34:34 Simulation Duration 0:00:01 Random Seed 1824731093 Total Errors 0 Output and Input Summary Statistics Output Name Output Cell Simulation Minimum Occurs at / L $I$12 1 29.49 2 29.49 3 29.49 4 29.49 5 29.49 6 29.49 7 29.49 8 29.49 9 29.49 10 29.49 L $I$14 1 0.01 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 0.01 10 0.01 Input Name Input Cell Simulation Minimum Simtable $B$3 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 Duration / D $B$5 1 2.2 2 2.2 3 2.2
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4 2.2 5 2.2 6 2.2 7 2.2 8 2.2 9 2.2 10 2.2 Duration / S $C$5 1 1.24 2 1.24 3 1.24 4 1.24 5 1.24 6 1.24 7 1.24 8 1.24 9 1.24 10 1.24 Duration / C $D$5 1 0.54 2 0.54 3 0.54 4 0.54 5 0.54 6 0.54 7 0.54 8 0.54 9 0.54 10 0.54 Duration / P $E$5 1 0.42 2 0.42 3 0.42 4 0.42 5 0.42 6 0.42 7 0.42 8 0.42 9 0.42 10 0.42 Duration / B $F$5 1 4.21 2 4.21 3 4.21 4 4.21 5 4.21 6 4.21 7 4.21 8 4.21 9 4.21 10 4.21 Duration / W $G$5 1 4.21 2 4.21 3 4.21 4 4.21 5 4.21 6 4.21 7 4.21 8 4.21 9 4.21
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10 4.21 Duration / M $H$5 1 1.89 2 1.89 3 1.89 4 1.89 5 1.89 6 1.89 7 1.89 8 1.89 9 1.89 10 1.89 Duration / T $I$5 1 1.46 2 1.46 3 1.46 4 1.46 5 1.46 6 1.46 7 1.46 8 1.46 9 1.46 10 1.46 Duration / I $J$5 1 3.65 2 3.65 3 3.65 4 3.65 5 3.65 6 3.65 7 3.65 8 3.65 9 3.65 10 3.65 Duration / L $K$5 1 1.59 2 1.59 3 1.59 4 1.59 5 1.59 6 1.59 7 1.59 8 1.59 9 1.59 10 1.59
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Maximum Mean Std Dev x1 p1 x2 57.1 41.5 5.61 33.69 5.0% 51.49 57.1 41.5 5.61 33.69 5.0% 51.49 57.1 41.5 5.61 33.69 5.0% 51.49 57.1 41.5 5.61 33.69 5.0% 51.49 57.1 41.5 5.61 33.69 5.0% 51.49 57.1 41.5
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This note was uploaded on 05/09/2010 for the course MD 605 taught by Professor Silks during the Fall '10 term at box.

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CH%2012_P1 - Problem 1 Section 14.9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11...

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