CH%2013_p4

CH%2013_p4 - Workbook Name CH 13_p4 (version 1).XLS Number...

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Ch 13_p4 Page 1 Monty Hall Chapter 13 Problem 4 Prize is behind Monte opens #ADDIN? #ADDIN? Keep count Monte opens 3 prize is behind 2 #ADDIN? Monte opens 3 prize behind 1 #ADDIN? Simulation Results for Door 2 Iterations= 400 Simulations= 1 # Input Variables= 2 # Output Variables= 2 Sampling Type= Latin Hypercube Runtime= 00:00:13 Summary Statistics Cell Name Minimum Mean Maximum B7 Behind 2 0 0.17 1 B8 Behind 1 0 0.34 1 We see that .335/(.165+.335) = 67.0% of time Monty opens door 3 the prize is actually behind door 1. Thus we should switch!! if we ran more iterations we would find that by switching we actually win 2/3 of the time
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Page 2 of 2 Simulation Summary Summary Information
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Unformatted text preview: Workbook Name CH 13_p4 (version 1).XLS Number of Simulations 1 Number of Iterations 400 Number of Inputs 2 Number of Outputs 2 Sampling Type Latin Hypercube Simulation Start Time 3/9/2010 13:07 Simulation Stop Time 3/9/2010 13:07 Simulation Duration 00:00:00 Random Seed 1936904459 Output Statistics Name Cell Minimum Mean Maximum x1 p1 x2 p2 Monte opens 3 prize is behindB7 0.17 1 5% 1 95% Monte opens 3 prize behind 1 B8 0.34 1 5% 1 95% Input Statistics Name Cell Minimum Mean Maximum x1 p1 x2 p2 Prize is behind A4 1 2 3 1 5% 3 95% Monte opens B4 1 2 3 1 5% 3 95%...
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CH%2013_p4 - Workbook Name CH 13_p4 (version 1).XLS Number...

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