SETZER_HW03_04 - Period t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14...

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% Error 1 2000 2 3000 3 3000 4 3000 2750 5 4000 3250 2750 -1250 1250 1562500 1250 31.25 6 6000 4000 3250 -2750 2750 4562500 2000 45.83 7 7000 5000 4000 -3000 3000 ### 2333.33 42.86 8 6000 5750 5000 -1000 1000 4781250 2000 16.67 9 10000 7250 5750 -4250 4250 7437500 2450 42.5 10 12000 8750 7250 -4750 4750 ### 2833.33 39.58 11 14000 10500 8750 -5250 5250 ### 3178.57 37.5 12 8000 11000 10500 2500 2500 ### 3093.75 31.25 13 3000 9250 11000 8000 8000 ### 3638.89 266.67 14 1000 6500 9250 8250 8250 22562500 4100 825 15 3000 3750 6500 3500 3500 21625000 4045.45 116.67 16 5000 3000 3750 -1250 1250 19953125 3812.5 25 17 5000 3500 3000 -2000 2000 ### 3673.08 40 18 8000 5250 3500 -4500 4500 ### 3732.14 56.25 19 3000 5250 5250 2250 2250 ### 3633.33 75 20 8000 6000 5250 -2750 2750 ### 3578.13 34.38 21 12000 7750 6000 -6000 6000 ### 3720.59 50 22 12000 8750 7750 -4250 4250 ### 3750 35.42 23 16000 12000 8750 -7250 7250 ### 3934.21 45.31 24 10000 12500 12000 2000 2000 19346875 3837.5 20 25 2000 10000 12500 10500 10500 ### 4154.76 525 26 5000 8250 10000 5000 5000 ### 4193.18 100 27 5000 5500 8250 3250 3250 ### 4152.17 65 28 3000 3750 5500 2500 2500 ### 4083.33 83.33 29 4000 4250 3750 -250 250 21562500 3930 6.25 30 6000 4500 4250 -1750 1750 ### 3846.15 29.17 31 7000 5000 4500 -2500 2500 ### 3796.3 35.71 32 10000 6750 5000 -5000 5000 ### 3839.29 50 33 15000 9500 6750 -8250 8250 ### 3991.38 55 34 15000 11750 9500 -5500 5500 ### 4041.67 36.67 35 18000 14500 11750 -6250 6250 ### 4112.9 34.72 36 8000 14000 14500 6500 6500 23531250 4187.5 81.25 37 5000 11500 14000 9000 9000 ### 4333.33 180 38 4000 8750 11500 7500 7500 ### 4426.47 187.5 39 4000 5250 8750 4750 4750 ### 4435.71 118.75 40 2000 3750 5250 3250 3250 ### 4402.78 162.5 41 5000 3750 3750 -1250 1250 ### 4317.57 25 42 7000 4500 3750 -3250 3250 ### 4289.47 46.43 43 10000 6000 4500 -5500 5500 ### 4320.51 55 44 14000 9000 6000 -8000 8000 25743750 4412.5 57.14 45 16000 11750 9000 -7000 7000 ### 4475.61 43.75 46 16000 14000 11750 -4250 4250 ### 4470.24 26.56 Period t Demand D t Level L t Forecast F t Error E t Absolute Error A t Mean Squared Error MSE t MAD t
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47 20000 16500 14000 -6000 6000 ### 4505.81 30 48 12000 16000 16500 4500 4500 ### 4505.68 37.5 49 5000 13250 16000 11000 11000 28312500 4650 220 50 2000 9750 13250 11250 11250 ### 4793.48 562.5 51 3000 5500 9750 6750 6750 ### 4835.11 225 52 2000 3000 5500 3500 3500 ### 4807.29 175 53 7000 3500 3000 -4000 4000 ### 4790.82 57.14 54 6000 4500 3500 -2500 2500 29613750 4745 41.67 55 8000 5750 4500 -3500 3500 ### 4720.59 43.75 56 10000 7750 5750 -4250 4250 ### 4711.54 42.5 57 20000 11000 7750 -12250 12250 ### 4853.77 61.25 58 20000 14500 11000 -9000 9000 ### 4930.56 45 59 22000 18000 14500 -7500 7500 ### 4977.27 34.09 60 8000 17500 18000 10000 10000 ### 5066.96 125
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31.25 -1250 -1 38.54 -4000 -2 39.98 -7000 -3 34.15 -8000 -4 35.82 -12250 -5 36.45 -17000 -6 36.6 -22250 -7 35.93 -19750 -6.38 61.57 -11750 -3.23 137.91 -3500 -0.85 135.98 0 0 126.73 -1250 -0.33 120.06 -3250 -0.88 115.5 -7750 -2.08 112.8 -5500 -1.51 107.9 -8250 -2.31 104.49 -14250 -3.83
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SETZER_HW03_04 - Period t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14...

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