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Unformatted text preview: Chapter 8 Stochastic regressors and measurement errors Overview Until this point it has been assumed that the only random element in a regression model is the disturbance term. This chapter extends the analysis to the case where the variables themselves have random components. The initial analysis shows that in general OLS estimators retain their desirable properties. A random component attributable to measurement error, the subject of the rest of the chapter, is however another matter. While measurement error in the dependent variable merely inflates the variances of the regression coefficients, measurement error in the explanatory variables causes OLS estimates of the coefficients to be biased and invalidates standard errors, t tests, and F tests. The analysis is illustrated with reference to the Friedman permanent income hypothesis, the most celebrated application of measurement error analysis in the economic literature. The chapter then introduces instrumental variables (IV) estimation and gives an example of its use to fit the Friedman model. The chapter concludes with a description of the Durbin–Wu–Hausman test for investigating whether measurement errors are serious enough to warrant using IV instead of OLS. Learning outcomes After working through the corresponding chapter in the text, studying the corresponding slideshows, and doing the starred exercises in the text and the additional exercises in this guide, you should be able to: • • • • • • • • IV explain the conditions under which OLS estimators remain unbiased when the variables in the regression model possess random components derive the large-sample expression for the bias in the slope coefficient in a simple regression model with measurement error in the explanatory variable demonstrate, within the context of the same model, that measurement error in the dependent variable does not cause the regression coefficients to be biased but does increase their standard errors describe the Friedman permanent income hypothesis and explain why OLS estimates of a conventional consumption function will be biased if it is correct explain what is meant by an instrumental variables estimator and state the conditions required for its use demonstrate that the IV estimator of the slope coefficient in a simple regression model is consistent, provided that the conditions required for its use are satisfied explain the factors responsible for the population variance of the IV estimator of the slope coefficient in a simple regression model perform the Durbin–Wu–Hausman test in the context of measurement error. Additional exercises A8.1 A researcher believes that a variable Y is determined by the simple regression model Y = β 1 + β 2 X + u She thinks that X is not distributed independently of u but thinks that another variable, Z , would be a suitable instrument. The instrumental estimator of the intercept, , is given by 1 b , IV 2 IV 1 X b Y b − = October 2007 2 where is the IV estimator of the slope coefficient. is the IV estimator of the slope coefficient....
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This note was uploaded on 05/26/2010 for the course ECON 301 taught by Professor Öcal during the Spring '10 term at Middle East Technical University.
- Spring '10