Screenshots - Multiple Detectors Model

Screenshots - Multiple Detectors Model - 0.5 B...

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Joint Probability Distribution: 0.875 B"S" 0.350 0.800 A"S" 0.125 B"R" 0.050 0.500 S 1.000 B"S" 0.100 0.200 A"R" 0.000 B"R" 0.000 0.000 B"S" 0.000 0.200 A"S" 1.000 B"R" 0.100 0.500 R 0.125 B"S" 0.050 0.800 A"R" 0.875 B"R" 0.350
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Decision Tree – Alpha with Beta Option: Value Measure U-Value State of Information Party CE Party Dec Cost 0.7 B "S" $77.00 0.66 A"S", B"S" $100.00 O $23.00 Buy Beta $56.44 0.54 0.3 B "R" 0.5 A "S" $23.51 0.28 A"S", B"R" $46.51 I $23.00 $59.55 0.56 >>> Don't Buy Beta $59.55 0.56 A"S", B"_" $69.55 P $10.00 0.3 B "S" 0.49 $35.56 0.39 A"R", B"S" $58.56 P $23.00 $47.91 Buy Beta $29.46 0.34 0.7 B "R" 0.5 A "R" $27.00 0.31 A"R", B"R" $50.00 I $23.00 $37.89 0.41 >>> Don't Buy Beta $37.89 0.41 A"R", B"_" $47.89 I $10.00 Decision Tree – Beta with Alpha Option: Value Measure U-Value State of Information Party CE Party Dec Cost 0.7 A "S" $77.00 0.66 A"S", B"S" $100.00 O $23.00 Buy Alpha $61.90 0.58 0.3 A "R"
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Unformatted text preview: 0.5 B "S" $35.56 0.39 A"R", B"S" $58.56 P $23.00 $68.07 0.61 >>> Don't Buy Alpha $68.07 0.61 A"_", B"S" $81.07 O $13.00 0.3 A "S" 0.50 $23.51 0.28 A"S", B"R" $46.51 I $23.00 $50.23 Buy Alpha $25.94 0.30 0.7 A "R" 0.5 B "R" $27.00 0.31 A"R", B"R" $50.00 I $23.00 $35.94 0.39 >>> Don't Buy Alpha $35.94 0.39 A"_", B"R" $48.94 I $13.00 Decision Tree Alpha and Beta Together: Value Measure U-Value State of Information Party CE Party Dec Cost 0.35 A "S", B "S" $84.00 0.69 A"S", B"S" $100.00 O $16.00 0.15 A "S", B "R" $30.51 0.34 A"S", B"R" $46.51 I $16.00 0.49 0.15 A "R", B "S" $48.70 $42.56 0.45 A"R", B"S" $58.56 P $16.00 0.35 A "R", B "R" $34.00 0.38 A"R", B"R" $50.00 I $16.00...
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This note was uploaded on 06/16/2010 for the course MS&E 352 taught by Professor Ronhoward during the Winter '09 term at Stanford.

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Screenshots - Multiple Detectors Model - 0.5 B...

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