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Econ 203 Hmwk 26 & 27 - Hw 26 Q5 Year Balance T...

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Hw 26 Q5 -29.83 -8.2 Year Balance T Y hat prt Trend 1980 -19.7 1 -38.03 0.52 SUMMARY OUTPUT 1981 -22.3 2 -46.24 0.48 1982 -27.5 3 -54.44 0.51 Regression Statistics 1983 -52.4 4 -62.64 0.84 Multiple R 0.81 1984 -106.7 5 -70.84 1.51 R Square 0.65 1985 -117.7 6 -79.05 1.49 Adjusted R 0.63 1986 -138.3 7 -87.25 1.59 Standard E 34.58 1987 -152.1 8 -95.45 1.59 Observation 19 1988 -118.5 9 -103.66 1.14 1989 -109.4 10 -111.86 0.98 ANOVA 1990 -101.7 11 -120.06 0.85 df SS 1991 -66.7 12 -128.26 0.52 Regression 1 38353.04 1992 -84.5 13 -136.47 0.62 Residual 17 20323.54 1993 -115.6 14 -144.67 0.8 Total 18 58676.59 1994 -150.6 15 -152.87 0.99 1995 -158.8 16 -161.07 0.99 Coefficients tandard Erro 1996 -170.2 17 -169.28 1.01 Intercept -29.83 16.51 1997 -181.5 18 -177.48 1.02 T -8.2 1.45 1998 -231.1 19 -185.68 1.24 1 -185.68 2 52 3 cyclical effect intercept slope HW 27 Q2 143.01 7.42 Year Subscribers Period Yhat Y/yhat SAR Q1 SI SUMMARY 1994 184 1 150.42 1.22 1.07 1.06 173 2 157.84 1.1 SAR Q2 Regressio 160 3 165.26 0.97 0.96 0.96 Multiple R 189 4 172.67 1.09 SAR Q3 R Square 1995 191 5 180.09 1.06 0.93 0.93 Adjusted R 185 6 187.5 0.99 SAR Q4 Standard E 184 7 194.92 0.94 1.05 1.05 Observation 200 8 202.34 0.99 sum SAR sum 1996 205 9 209.75 0.98 4.01 4 ANOVA 192 10 217.17 0.88 200 11 224.58 0.89 Regression 1 2 3 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8
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229 12 232 0.99 Q2 1998 Residual 1997 236 13 239.42 0.99 271.58 Total 219 14 246.83 0.89 211 15 254.25 0.83 recomposed 272 16 261.66 1.04 265.72 Intercept 1998 280 17 269.08 1.04 Period 261 18 276.5 0.94 Q3 275 19 283.91 0.97 2.27 322 20 291.33 1.11 1 1999 331 21 298.74 1.11 2 301 22 306.16 0.98 3 306 23 313.58 0.98 4 351 24 320.99 1.09 5 6 7 8 Q1 Year Quarter Rate Period Yhat Y/Yhat SAR 1 SI SUMMARY 1991 1 0.56 1 0.64 0.87 0.88 0.88 1991 2 0.7 2 0.65 1.08 SAR2 Regressio 1991 3 0.800 3 0.66 1.22 1.08 1.08 Multiple R 1991 4 0.57 4 0.66 0.86 SAR3 R Square 1992 1 0.58 5 0.67 0.86 1.17 1.17 Adjusted R 1992 2 0.74 6 0.67 1.1 SAR4 Standard E 1992 3 0.87 7 0.68 1.28 0.88 0.88 Observation 1992 4 0.61 8 0.68 0.89 sum 1993 1 0.59 9 0.69 0.87 4 4 ANOVA 1993 2 0.74 10 0.69 1.07 1993 3 0.73 11 0.7 1.05 Regression 1993 4 0.600 12 0.7 0.85
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