Unformatted text preview: Hint : Use a model selection criterion to choose the order within a prescribed range of orders.) (c) Use your Ftted model to compute kmonthsahead forecasts ( k = 1 , 2 , . . . , 6) and their standard errors, choosing December 2006 as the forecast origin. Compare your forecasts with the actual unemployment rates....
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This note was uploaded on 08/08/2010 for the course AMS 316 taught by Professor Xing during the Fall '09 term at SUNY Stony Brook.
 Fall '09

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