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Unformatted text preview: All the refrigerators are shipped to a central warehouse. If a refrigerator at the warehouse is found to be defective, what is the probability that it was produced at plant C? Section 7.6 Bayes Theorem 1 Example 2: Suppose that from a well-shuffled deck of 52 playing cards two cards are drawn in succession, without replacement. What is the probability that the first card was a king, given that the second card was not a king? Example 3: A placement test is given by a certain high school to predict student success in a particular math course. On average, 70% of students who take the test pass it, and 87% of those who pass the test also pass the course, whereas 8% of those who fail the test pass the course. If a student passed the course, what is the probability that he or she did not pass the test? Section 7.6 Bayes Theorem 2...
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