ANTH_115_Class_x12_Talk_xFutures_Thinkingx_2009_04_22

ANTH_115_Class_x12_Talk_xFutures_Thinkingx_2009_04_22 - -...

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Futures Thinking 4/22/09 Class #12 ANTH 115 Reckmeyer Futures Thinking
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Futures Thinking 4/22/09 Class #12 ANTH 115 Reckmeyer Interconnected Global Challenges ! ! ? ? Water Water Population Population Finances Finances Trade Trade Health Health Poverty Poverty Pollution Pollution Hunger Hunger Education Education Migration Migration Energy Energy Security Security
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Futures Thinking 4/22/09 Class #12 ANTH 115 Reckmeyer Societal Change Societal Change - General Historical/Cultural Patterns - Primarily = Interplay of 2 Major Processes Innovation = Intra-Societal Change - Internal Inventions = New Creations - Usually NOT out of Thin Air - Recombination of Existing Societal Elements Diffusion = Inter-Societal Change - External Interactions = Trade/Conquest/etc - Modified to Suit Internal Needs/Fashions/etc Patterns of Societal Change - Mix of Three Systemic Types
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Unformatted text preview: - Maintaining (On-Going / Routine) - Modifying (Gradual / Radical)- Morphing (Identity / Viability) Futures Thinking 4/22/09 Class #12 ANTH 115 Reckmeyer Futures Thinking Insanity Trap- Traditional = Part-Smart vs Whole-Smart- Symptom-Smart vs Cause-Smart- Intervention-Smart vs Results-Smart Futures Thinking = New Orientation- Focus = Intentionally Shape Future- Multiple = Viewpoints / Paths / Strategies- Idealized Change = Vision/Reality Gap- Plan Backwards / Work Forwards- Two Major Modes = Forecasting/Backcasting Retirement Planning (Example)- Forecasting = Multiple Scenarios * Defined Contributions (Hope/Plan Forwards)- Backcasting = Idealized Design * Defined Benefits (Goal/Plan Backwards)...
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This note was uploaded on 09/08/2010 for the course ANTH 115 at San Jose State University .

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ANTH_115_Class_x12_Talk_xFutures_Thinkingx_2009_04_22 - -...

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