Lecture 9 - 2010-4-15

Lecture 9 - 2010-4-15 - 4/27/2010 Technological Trends:...

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4/27/2010 1 Technological Trends: Generalization AMONG THE HUNDREDS OF TRENDS IN TECHNOLOGY that have been detected over the past decade, the following 10 that strike me as general across all fields and rich in their implications for strategic planning. These 10 are discussed below, with emphasis on the TECHNOLOGY IS BECOMING MORE SYSTEMIC, THAT IS, ATTENTIVE TO THE TOTAL SYSTEM IT DRAWS UPON AND RELATES TO, FROM RAW MATERIALS TO FINAL WASTE DISPOSAL Trend 1 One sees this today in the exploding interest in supply chain management. It also shows up in the expanding considerations shaping manufacturing, first integrating manufacturing with automation, and then with design, with after- market services, with raw material choices, and continuing all along the way to becoming more aware and responsive to current and potential legislation and social trends, including customer preferences.
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4/27/2010 2 THE DISTINCTION BETWEEN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY IS BLURRING Trend 2 Through the early 20th century, invention stimulated scientific attention to promote efficiency and effectiveness, through better theory. Since about 1940, the relationship has been reversing, with basic science now leading to many new technologies. This is especially clear in genetics, brain science, biology, materials, and continuing briskly in information technology. R&D IS MORE INTERDISCIPLINARY AND CROSS-DISCIPLINARY Trend 3
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4/27/2010 3 Historically, the development of the Science and Technology disciplines centered around assumptions like Newton’s three laws, which more or less ignored chemistry, strength of materials, user behavior, and scores of other areas. These simplifying models, relative to specific technologies, were very productive but eventually led to calling on other disciplines for deeper understanding and better products. Most of the productive activity today occurs at the interface or conjunction of two or
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This note was uploaded on 10/03/2010 for the course ESE 337 taught by Professor Chi-tsongchen during the Spring '10 term at SUNY Stony Brook.

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Lecture 9 - 2010-4-15 - 4/27/2010 Technological Trends:...

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