Lec 17 review2010

# Lec 17 review2010 - CEE 3040 UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN...

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CEE 3040 - UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN ENGINEERING Notes for Lecture #17 Mon., Oct. 4, 2010 PRELIM EXAM    Wed, October 6, 2010,  in class. Open book and open notes, calculators, no laptops. Covering material in Chapters 1-5 and Poisson material in Section 3.6. Homework  on Poisson Processes due Mon. Oct. 4. Review Session  for exam, in class Monday, Oct. 4. Question Session  for exam,   Tuesday, Oct. 5, 6:00-7:30 pm, Hol. 314. LECTURE HELD Fri. Oct. 8  Ofc. Hrs. cancelled  during fall break  Sections cancelled  on Oct. 6-7.  (Relax after the exam.) Normal office hours and section resume following fall break. Learning Expectations for First Prelim At this point in the course, before the first prelim, students should have learned the concepts listed below  and be able to perform the specified tasks. Probability Theory      P1. Students should know the 3  basic axioms for probability  and the definitions and role of an experiment,  the sample space, an event, and a sample point. { P(A)   0;  P(S) = 1; for A and B disjoint, P[A   B] = P[A] + P[B] } P2. Students should know how to  calculate the probability  of events consisting of unions, intersections,  and complements of events of known probability. Page  1

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CEE 3040 - UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN ENGINEERING Notes for Lecture #17 Mon., Oct. 4, 2010 P3. Students should know the formula for  conditional probability  and should be able to calculate the  conditional probabilities of various events.  Students should know the definition and use of
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