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Assignment%203_Results

Assignment%203_Results - Female Population Projection Based...

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Female Population Projection Based on Cohort-Component Method and Gross Migration, San Diego County, 2015 Age in 2010 Age in 2015 2010 Population Births Survival Rates 2015 Survived Population Deaths 2010-2015 Domestic In-Migrants 2010-2015 Domestic Out- Migrants 2010-2015 Change from Domestic Migration 2010-2015 2015 Forecast Births 2005-2010 0-4 110,165 0.98634 108,660 1,505 0 0 0 108,660 0-4 5-9 114,592 0.99127 113,591 1,001 10,677 11,131 -454 113,137 5-9 10-14 112,324 0.99127 111,344 980 14,067 16,213 -2,146 109,198 10-14 15-19 100,728 0.99091 99,813 915 11,885 12,116 -231 99,582 15-19 20-24 110,732 0.99060 109,691 1,041 13,785 14,270 -485 109,206 20-24 25-29 112,593 0.99034 111,506 1,087 28,387 31,714 -3,327 108,179 25-29 30-34 106,802 0.98999 105,733 1,069 29,853 28,591 1,262 106,995 30-34 35-39 110,686 0.98877 109,443 1,243 25,317 25,784 -467 108,976 35-39 40-44 114,547 0.98661 113,014 1,533 19,809 20,407 -598 112,416 40-44 45-49 112,475 0.98399 110,674 1,801 13,495 14,109 -614 110,060 45-49 50-54 118,695 0.98031 116,358 2,337 8,891 9,956 -1,065 115,293 50-54 55-59 110,263 0.97347 107,338 2,925 6,981 7,993 -1,012 106,326 55-59 60-64 94,950 0.96300 91,437 3,513 7,164 8,042 -878 90,559 60-64 65-69 78,454 0.94658 74,263 4,191 6,208 7,324 -1,116 73,147 65-69 70-74 55,037 0.91945 50,604 4,433 4,467 4,720 -253 50,351 70-74 75-79 42,860 0.88197 37,801 5,059 3,609 3,702 -93 37,708 75-79 80-84 36,749 0.81685 30,018 6,731 2,751 2,746 5 30,023 80+ 85+ 69,548 0.58287 40,538 29,010 2,611 2,722 -111 40,427 Total 1,602,035 1,641,826 70,374 209,957 221,540 -11,583 1,630,243 Components of Change, 2010-2015 28,208 Female Population 110,165 Births 70,374 Deaths -11,583 Domestic Migration Birth Sequence 5-Year Fertility Rate At Risk Population Components Age in 2010 Age in 2015 Original Averaged 2010 Pop 1/2 deaths Domestic In-Migrants Domestic Out-Migrants At- Risk Population
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