Assignment%201_Results

Assignment%201_Results - 25 to 29 0.9898698 1.0001243...

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Age-Specific Birth Rates, San Diego County Age Group SD 2010 CA minus SD, 2010 Convergence Factor Adjusted Difference CA 2015 SD 2015 %chg 2010-15 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) 15 to 19 35.6 -1.1 0.90 -0.99 32.9 33.9 -4.8% 20 to 24 94.2 -3.3 0.90 -2.97 84.6 87.6 -7.0% 25 to 29 113.7 -0.1 0.90 -0.09 106.0 106.1 -6.7% 30 to 34 105.3 7.1 0.90 6.39 117.7 111.3 5.7% 35 to 39 58.8 0.4 0.90 0.36 61.8 61.4 4.4% 40 to 44 14.2 0.9 0.90 0.81 16.6 15.8 11.3% TFR 2,109.0 2,098.0 2,080.5 -1.4% (1) CA fertility rate minus SD fertility rate (2) 10% convergence factor (30% convergence by 2025; 2015 is 1/3 of the period from 2010 to 2025) (3) = (1) * (2) (4) 2010 projected CA fertility rates rates (5) = (4) - (3)
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Female Age Specific Survival Rates, San Diego County Age Group SD 2010 Ratio US 2015 to US 2010 SD 2015 Infant 0.9859944 1.0003519 0.9863414 0 to 4 0.9912222 1.0000453 0.9912672 5 to 9 0.9912288 1.0000450 0.9912734 10 to 14 0.9908448 1.0000674 0.9909116 15 to 19 0.9905178 1.0000865 0.9906034 20 to 24 0.9902399 1.0001027 0.9903416
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Unformatted text preview: 25 to 29 0.9898698 1.0001243 0.9899929 30 to 34 0.9885732 1.0002003 0.9887711 35 to 39 0.9862829 1.0003349 0.9866132 40 to 44 0.9834972 1.0004995 0.9839885 45 to 49 0.9795979 1.0007314 0.9803144 50 to 54 0.9723337 1.0011684 0.9734698 55 to 59 0.9612208 1.0018494 0.9629984 60 to 64 0.9438000 1.0029488 0.9465830 65 to 69 0.9154195 1.0044083 0.9194549 70 to 74 0.8758546 1.0069810 0.8819690 75 to 79 0.8071338 1.0120344 0.8168472 80+ 0.5801198 1.0047492 0.5828749 The TFR is projected to decline by -1.4% between 2010 and 2015. Age-specific fertility rates (ASFR) decline for all age groups under 30, with the largest decrease in ages 20-24 (7.0%). Following the trend of delaying childbirth, significant increases occur in the ASFR for all age groups over 30, but it is not enough to reverse the overall decline in the TFR....
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This note was uploaded on 10/20/2010 for the course ECON 125 taught by Professor Tayman during the Spring '08 term at UCSD.

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Assignment%201_Results - 25 to 29 0.9898698 1.0001243...

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