2 Scenario Development

2 Scenario Development - cenario Development nd...

Info iconThis preview shows pages 1–11. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

Unformatted text preview: cenario Development nd Verification reative alternative tories about the future based on esearch What is a scenario? Scenario Questions? What is the Best Scenario? What is the Worst Scenario? What two questions would you most want to ask a crystal ball? Scenario Questions? If you could look back two years, what would have been a useful scenario then? What would have been good to foresee? What did you actually think was going to happen? What are the most important decisions you are facing right now? What constraints do you feel in making these decisions? cenario Building Steps 1. identify the focal issue or decision 2. list the national and personal driving forces 3. list the key forces in the local environment 4. rank the key forces and driving trends by importance and uncertainty 5. decide on the axes to select scenario logics and plots 6. flesh out multiple scenarios 7. looking at implications of each scenario 8. select leading indicators and signposts Types of scenarios More of the same, but better Worse Different but better The most common types of scenarios addressed here are: Need for Verification Tell me a story 1. Hard to do without basic knowledge 2. Informational hunting and gathering Measurements nalytics: hat do you need to know arameters: hat are the boundaries for good / bad etrics: hat you can measure Verification RESEARCH BASED COMMUNICATION NETWORKS Don't Know what you want to do? Do Career Leader and Make an Appointment with a consultant Research and gather data to make a decision. Know what occupation you want, but not sure where to begin?...
View Full Document

Page1 / 24

2 Scenario Development - cenario Development nd...

This preview shows document pages 1 - 11. Sign up to view the full document.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Ask a homework question - tutors are online