Opinion7

Opinion7 - Monday, September 27 POLS4510 PUBLIC OPINION AND...

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Monday, September 27 http://emwilk.myweb.uga.edu/POLS4510.html POLS4510 – PUBLIC OPINION AND AMERICAN DEMOCRACY (20597) Ideology and Party identification Culture War? Are Americans polarized?
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Trends of Party ID Correlation (r) between PID and ideology 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 0.31 0.34 0.39 0.37 0.39 0.42 0.42 0.36 (r) 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 0.39 0.33 0.43 0.49 0.54 0.47 0.49 0.55 0.62 (r)
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Patterns of Partisanship Over Time Liberal Moderate Conservative Ideological divisions 74 59 23 -20 72 51 19 -22 76 59 21 -29 80 62 29 -24 78 61 31 -23 84 53 19 -43 82 68 35 -25 86 56 19 -28 92 62 14 -37 90 55 15 -25 96 73 28 -45 94 71 20 -49 00 65 18 -41 98 66 26 -39 04 77 16 -66 02 67 18 -51 PCT DEM minus PCT REP Source: National Election Study 08 76 29 -40 88 54 13 -39 Liberal Moderate Conservative
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Impact of PID on Presidential Approval Presidential Approval by Party in May of Re-election Years 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Truman Eisenhower LBJ Nixon Ford Carter Reagan Bush 1 Clinton Bush 2 Republicans Democrats 77 60 47 53 30 28 43 24 42
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Patterns of Partisanship Over Time Ideological divisions Does this mean the electorate has become polarized? Polarization A move toward the poles amongst partisans (a disappearing middle) Polarization at the elite level vs the electorate
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 84 th Congress (produced by 1954 midterm) – FIRST dimension -.231 Dem. Median .276 Rep. Median .055 Floor median Republican President / Democratic Congress 0 .5 1.0 -1.0 -.5
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 110 th Congress (produced by 2006 midterms) -.406 Dem. Median .535 Rep. Median -.174 Floor median Republican President / Democratic Congress 1.0 .5 0 -.5 -1.0
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This note was uploaded on 10/25/2010 for the course POLI 4510 taught by Professor Wilk during the Fall '10 term at UGA.

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Opinion7 - Monday, September 27 POLS4510 PUBLIC OPINION AND...

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