Opinion9 - Monday, October 11 POLS4510 PUBLIC OPINION AND...

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Monday, October 11 http://emwilk.myweb.uga.edu/POLS4510.html POLS4510 – PUBLIC OPINION AND AMERICAN DEMOCRACY (20597) Democratic Values Macro-partisanship – partisan realignments
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Regional Divisions – South / non-South South Non- South 54 ** ** 52 61 11 58 48 14 56 45 2 62 33 14 60 36 9 66 39 19 64 55 24 70 32 17 68 46 15 74 35 16 72 32 12 76 34 13 80 30 15 78 31 20 84 21 3 82 33 19 88 22 -1 86 28 8 92 17 10 90 28 10 96 15 13 94 8 4 00 10 14 98 8 18 04 7 10 02 4 6 South Non-South PCT DEM minus PCT REP Regional divisions have been related to socio-economic and racial divisions. Sectionalism is still with us today (red state/blue states) but not as intense as it has been in earlier periods. This is largely due to nationalization of society and politics. Macro-partisanship Over Time 08 3 22
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Regional Divisions – Urban/Rural Republican Percentage of Two-Party Vote in Presidential Elections, 1952- 2000 (NES) 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 00 48 53 36 36 39 48 44 36 41 38 32 36 32 60 62 54 50 52 66 51 63 66 60 51 50 55 59 58 54 43 56 67 51 62 62 57 53 46 59 Urban Suburban Rural Region Macro-partisanship Over Time
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Changes in Coalitional Support Religious divisions Impact of religion is changed: Catholics less likely to be Democrats than 50 years ago. Evangelicals more likely to be Republicans. In terms of religion, party attachments are divided by church attendance.
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Democrat Pure Ind. Republican Religious Affiliation 54 63 12 25 52 68 7 25 58 66 12 21 56 59 13 27 62 67 9 24 60 71 11 18 66 64 15 21 64 69 10 21 70 63 13 23 68 65 12 23 74 63 15 22 72 63 13 24 76 63 12 25 80 55 15 29 78 65 15 20 Democrat Pure Ind. Republican 84 52 15 33 82 65 13 22 88 51 11 38 86 55 12 32 92 55 11 34 90 56 10 34 96 55 8 36 94 52 12 36 00 50 11 40 98 52 11 37 04 48 14 38 02 44 9 48 Source: National Election Study PID among Catholics Changes in Coalitional Support
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Democrat Pure Ind. Republican
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This note was uploaded on 10/25/2010 for the course POLI 4510 taught by Professor Wilk during the Fall '10 term at University of Georgia Athens.

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Opinion9 - Monday, October 11 POLS4510 PUBLIC OPINION AND...

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