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Unformatted text preview: Each trip taken in the United States adds a 1/ 4,000,000 th chance for a fatal accident to occur. Therefore, the probability of a fatal accident in a lifetime is; 50,000 x 1/ 4,000,000 = 5/400 = .0125 There are many variables that contribute to this; therefore, it is unlikely that this would be independent. For example, experienced drivers are less likely to have and accident. Someone with little driving experience may be more accident prone, and may take fewer trips. People who are in fatal accidents take fewer trips because their life has ended. Among other factors such as the area driven in and amount of other drivers on the road will also affect the data. (b) The likelihood of a fatal accident is minuscule and he or she may be confident his or her Experience will keep this from happening....
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- Spring '10