Energy0 - Coal 31% Gas Hydrates 62% Conventional Oil 0.9%...

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American geophysicist Shell Oil research laboratory Houston, TX M. King Hubbert (1903-89)
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US Oil Production Data through 1956 1 90 1910 30 50 70 90 2010 30 50 Year 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Production (billion bbl/yr) Actual Source: Deffeyes, Hubbert’s Peak (2001)
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US Oil Production Hubbert’s Prediction (1956) 1 90 1910 30 50 70 90 2010 30 50 Year 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Production (billion bbl/yr) Predicted Actual Source: Deffeyes, Hubbert’s Peak (2001)
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US Oil Production How well did he do? 1 90 1910 30 50 70 90 2010 30 50 Year 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Production (billion bbl/yr) Predicted Actual Source: Deffeyes, Hubbert’s Peak (2001)
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World Oil Production Deffeyes Prediction (2001) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 Production (billion bbl/yr) 1 80 1900 20 40 60 80 2000 20 40 60 Year Source: Deffeyes, Hubbert’s Peak (2001) November 24, 2005
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How good was his prediction? http://www.hubbertpeak.com/ (May)
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Fossil Fuel Reserves
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Unformatted text preview: Coal 31% Gas Hydrates 62% Conventional Oil 0.9% Conventional Gas 0.6% InSitu HVO/ Bitumen 1.9% Oil Shale 2.4% Surface Bitumen 0.2% Coalbed Methane 0.7% Source: Shell International Exploration and Production Company, personal communication Fossil Fuel Reserves Coal 31% Gas Hydrates 62% Conventional Oil 0.9% Conventional Gas 0.6% InSitu HVO/ Bitumen 1.9% Oil Shale 2.4% Surface Bitumen 0.2% Coalbed Methane 0.7% Source: Shell International Exploration and Production Company, personal communication Equivalent Oil 10 miles 10 miles 102 miles 10,200 cubic miles Equivalent Oil 10 miles 10 miles 102 miles 10,200 cubic miles 2.6 cubic miles/yr Equivalent Oil 10 miles 10 miles 102 miles 10,200 cubic miles 2.6 cubic miles/yr 39 centuries Where will we get our energy? New Renewables Fossil...
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Energy0 - Coal 31% Gas Hydrates 62% Conventional Oil 0.9%...

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