HW_3[1] - Month Yield MA Forecast Error 1 9.29 - - -2 9.99...

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HW 3 Chapter 4 Question 9 a ) 3 Month Moving Average Month Yield MA Forecast Error 1 9.29 - - - 2 9.99 - - - 3 10.16 9.813 - - 4 10.25 10.133 9.813 0.437 5 10.61 10.340 10.133 0.477 6 11.07 10.643 10.340 0.730 7 11.52 11.067 10.643 0.877 8 11.09 11.227 11.067 0.023 9 10.80 11.137 11.227 -0.427 10 10.50 10.797 11.137 -0.637 11 10.86 10.720 10.797 0.063 12 9.97 10.443 10.720 -0.750 Accuracy Measures MAPE: 4.5875 MAD: 0.4911 MSE: 0.3193 MPE: 0.6904 Forecast for month 13 is 10.443
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b) 5-month moving-average (See plot below.)
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Unformatted text preview: Month Yield MA Forecast Error 1 9.29 - - -2 9.99 - - -3 10.16 - - -4 10.25 - - -5 10.61 10.060 - -6 11.07 10.416 10.060 1.010 7 11.52 10.722 10.416 1.104 8 11.09 10.908 10.722 0.368 9 10.80 11.018 10.908 -0.108 10 10.50 10.996 11.018 -0.518 11 10.86 10.954 10.996 -0.136 12 9.97 10.644 10.954 -0.984 Accuracy Measures MAPE: 5.5830 MAD: 0.6040 MSE: 0.5202 MPE: 0.7100 Forecast for month 13 is 10.644 g ) Use 3-month moving average forecast: 10.4433 h)...
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HW_3[1] - Month Yield MA Forecast Error 1 9.29 - - -2 9.99...

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