09 - 2/12/09 Presidential Election Winners Win Nationally...

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2/12/09 Presidential Election Winners Win Nationally and Win Home State Even losing presidential candidates win their home states. Defeated incumbent Presidents still win their home states. Waiting for an Electoral Accident to happen? (1800,1824,1876,1888, 2000) If you win the electoral votes at home you could change one of the misfires (1888) In 2000 if Al Gore had won his home state and gotten those 11 votes, then he would have been President of the US. The Adjusted Success of the Electoral College 56 presidential elections (1789-2008)—spanning 4 centuries (18 th century to the 21 st century) If you put in winning home state then you would reduce the misfires to 3 (1800, 1824, 1876) Adjusted success rate= 94.64% Long streak between misfires: 33 straight election (1880-2008) Only 1 popular vote majority winner denied presidency 1876, Samuel Tilden (D) 50.92% Electoral college picked pop vote winner 45/47 times (1824-2008) Adjusted success rate= 95.74%
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This note was uploaded on 01/17/2011 for the course POLI 1101 taught by Professor Smith during the Spring '06 term at University of Georgia Athens.

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09 - 2/12/09 Presidential Election Winners Win Nationally...

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