Economic Forecast

Economic Forecast - more likely next year, bonds may offer...

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After such a huge rally, few bonds are screaming bargains today. But with a weaker stock market likely  next year, some may offer better returns than equities. Among corporate bonds, consider top-quality high- yield issues, which are yielding as much as 10%. Junk bonds won't flourish as they did in 2009, when the  average fund rose 43% through late November, according to Morningstar. But they could still produce  double-digit returns in 2010 as investors gain confidence that issuers won't fail, says Tony Rodriguez,  head of fixed income at FAF Advisors: "We expect to see a steady and continued decline in default rates  in 2010." Consider a fund like Principal High Yield (CPHYX), which has returned 8% annually over the  past 10 years and offers an 8.7% yield. After returning from a downturn in sales, bonds are more in the market than stocks. With a stock market 
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Unformatted text preview: more likely next year, bonds may offer more returns than stocks. Among corporate bonds, customers should think of buying bonds offered to the public because they can yield as much as 10%. Speculative bonds that have a high risk of defaulting on payment will not do as well as they did in November 2009. They could still produce above 10% returns in 2010 as investor confidence in issuers not defaulting on payment grows as confirmed by Tony Rodriguez head of fixed income at FAF Advisors when he said: We expect to see a steady and continued decline in default rates in 2010. Consumers should consider a bond such as the Principal High Yield which has returned 8% dividends per year for over the past 10 years and offers 8.7% return on investments....
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This note was uploaded on 01/27/2011 for the course ECON 362 taught by Professor Bipen during the Spring '10 term at George Mason.

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