Lecture+7a - Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Lecture...

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Unformatted text preview: Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Rutgers University Spring, 2010 Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 1 / 40 Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Part I Reading Assignments Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 2 / 40 Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Reading Assignments Portner, Claus Chr. Population and Economic Growth June 1996 Chapters 1 and 4 only faculty.washington.edu/cportner/papers/MScDiss. pdf Fernndez-Villaverde, Jess Was Malthus Right? Economic Growth and Population Dynamics December 3, 2001 Sections 1, 2 and 7 http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download? doi=10.1.1.17.9263&rep=rep1&type=pdf Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 3 / 40 Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Reading Assignments (Continued) Malmberg, B. and Lindh, T. Population change and Economic Growth in the Western World, 18501990 December 3, 2001 Sections 1, 2 and 7 http://www.aueb.gr/conferences/espe2001/pdf/ Malmberg%20B..pdf Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 4 / 40 Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Reading Assignments (Continued) Cincotta, RP. and Engelman, R. Economics and Rapid Change: The Influence of Population Growth December 3, 2001 Sections 1, 2 and 7 http://www.populationaction.org/Publications/ Reports/Economics_and_Rapid_Change/Summary. shtml Download the PDF paper using the link at the bottom left of page Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 5 / 40 Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Introduction Part II Introduction Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 6 / 40 Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Introduction Introduction Lets consider some data on population and economic growth Prof. Paczkowski (Rutgers University) Lecture 7 Population Spring, 2010 7 / 40 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Africa 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Asia Central-North America 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Europe Oceania 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 South America Years Annual Growth (%) Population Growth Rates Median of Rates Year-over-Year Growth, 1966-1990 Real GDP per Worker Growth Rates vs. Population Growth Rates Average Annual Population Growth Rates (%) Average Annual Real GDP per Worker Growth Rates (%) 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2 4 Source: Penn World Tables, v5.6 Data: Real GDP per Worker 1950-1990 n = 46 countries Line is LOWESS Smooth showing trend VENEZUE HONDURAS UGANDA NICARAGUA TURKEY EGYPT INDIA SRI LANKA ARGENTINA U.S.A. ICELAND URUGUAY JAPAN SPAIN PORTUGAL DENMARK FRANCE NORWAY Call: lm(formula = RGDPGrowth ~ POPGrowth, data = x) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.528 -0.7335 0.05769 0.8061 2.753 Coefficients: Value Std. t- Pr(>|t|) Error Value (Intercept) 3.4961 0.3565 9.8053 0.0000 POPGrowth-0.7004 0.1741 -4.0233 0.0002 Residual standard error: 1.166 on 44 degrees of freedomResidual standard error: 1....
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This note was uploaded on 02/08/2011 for the course ECONOMICS 101 taught by Professor June during the Spring '08 term at Rutgers.

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Lecture+7a - Lecture 7 Population Prof. Paczkowski Lecture...

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