January 25 - Morgan, Lye and Condran

January 25 - Morgan, Lye and Condran - Morgan Lye and...

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Morgan, Lye and Condran, “Sons, Daughters, and the Risk of Marital Disruption” 1. Main findings and conclusions A. Fathers are more involved in raising sons than in raising daughters B. Sons reduce the risk of marital disruption (separation) by 9% more than do daughters (with family size, marital duration, etc., held constant) 2. Methodology A. Data from June 1980 Current Population Survey for women age < 40 B. used a form of regression analysis C. dependent variable: whether “separation” occurs D. independent variables: total number of kids, sex composition of kids, duration of marriage so far, age of first child E. e.g., S = a + bK + bB + BD + bA F. (What other variables would you include in such an analysis?) 3. Results A. logarithm of odds of marital breakup: Table A3, p. 127 B. graphs of results: Figures 1-2 C. summary: * more boys (with total # of kids constant) reduces probability of breakup * with one child, probability of breakup is constant * with two kids, probability of breakup falls as duration of marriage rises
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4. Why should this occur? (data from National Study of Children)
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