Lab 12 - Problems - UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY...

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UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY Engineering 7 – Spring 2009 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Instructor: Professor Rector 1 Lab 12 [20 pts] Topics : Regression Assigned : Monday, 05/04/2009, 12:00 AM Due : Friday, 05/08/2009, 5:00 PM Type : Take-home Introduction to the Steamboat Geyser Problem A non-profit group of volunteers called the Geyser Observation and Study Organization (GOSA) monitors geyser activity in Yellowstone National Park. For more information see www.geyserstudy.org ). Steamboat Geyser Steamboat Geyser is one of the most spectacular geysers in the Norris Geyser Basin of Yellowstone National Park. The last time that it erupted was on March 26, 2003 at midnight, and nobody was around to see it. We know that it erupted by examining data from a temperature sensor that Geyser Observation and Study Organization (GOSA) had put in the outflow channel. (For more information see www.geyserstudy.org ). Unfortunately, that data is not available to the public. We can, however, study some of the data from the temperature sensor from other dates to get an idea how Steamboat usually behaves.
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UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY Engineering 7 – Spring 2009 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Instructor: Professor Rector 2 0. Mathematical Introduction – Notations and Definitions Assume we have a dataset with n observations of the dependent variable, y i , i = 1…n. Take note of the following definitions. Note: y ˆ is the vector of values estimated using regression! Sum of Squared Residuals (SSR): () = = n i i i y y SSR 1 2 ˆ Mean of Squared Residuals (MSR): () = = = n i i i y y n SSR n MSR 1 2 ˆ 1 1 Total Sum of Squares (SST): () = = n i i y y SST 1 2 R-squared (R 2 ): SST SSR 1 R 2 = The R 2 is a measure of how well the estimates fit to the data. Important Note!
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Lab 12 - Problems - UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY...

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