157hwk2excelkey

157hwk2excelkey - problem 1a Gasoline sales-447 FORECASTS...

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Unformatted text preview: problem 1a. Gasoline sales--447 FORECASTS Actual model 1 model 2 model 3 model 4 model 5 1.0 Nov-05 31335.0 3-month 3-mo. 6-mo. ------------------ exponential 2.0 Dec-05 31343.0 moving weighted moving 3.0 Jan-06 30885.0 average moving avg average a = 0 a=.2 4.0 Feb-06 29339.0 (.6, .3, .1) 5.0 Mar-06 33984.0 6.0 Apr-06 36098.0 7.0 May-06 39123.0 33140.3 34787.9 32164.0 31200.0 31200.0 8.0 Jun-06 39229.0 36401.7 37701.6 33462.0 31200.0 32784.6 9.0 Jul-06 40683.0 38150.0 38884.1 34776.3 31200.0 34073.5 10.0 Aug-06 41144.0 39678.3 40090.8 36409.3 31200.0 35395.4 11.0 Sep-06 34890.0 40352.0 40814.2 38376.8 31200.0 36545.1 12.0 Oct-06 33251.0 38905.7 37345.5 38527.8 31200.0 36214.1 13.0 Nov-06 31584.0 36428.3 34532.0 38053.3 31200.0 35621.5 14.0 Dec-06 32675.0 33241.7 32414.7 36796.8 31200.0 34814.0 15.0 Jan-07 30933.0 32503.3 32405.3 35704.5 31200.0 34386.2 16.0 Feb-07 29753.0 31730.7 31520.7 34079.5 31200.0 33695.5 17.0 Mar-07 35561.0 31120.3 30399.2 32181.0 31200.0 32907.0 18.0 Apr-07 36637.0 32082.3 33355.8 32292.8 31200.0 33437.8 19.0 May-07 41336.0 33983.7 35625.8 32857.2 31200.0 34077.7 20.0 Jun-07 40449.0 37844.7 39348.8 34482.5 31200.0 35529.3 21.0 Jul-07 40653.0 39474.0 40333.9 35778.2 31200.0 36513.3 22.0 Aug-07 40322.0 40812.7 40660.1 37398.2 31200.0 37341.2 23.0 Sep-07 37635.0 40474.7 40434.0 39159.7 31200.0 37937.4 24.0 Oct-07 39373.0 39536.7 38742.9 39505.3 31200.0 37876.9 25.0 Nov-07 39739.0 39110.0 38946.5 39961.3 31200.0 38176.1 26.0 Dec-07 38973.0 38915.7 39418.8 39695.2 31200.0 38488.7 27.0 Jan-08 38581.0 39361.7 39242.8 39449.2 31200.0 38585.6 28.0 Feb-08 37465.0 39097.7 38814.4 39103.8 31200.0 38584.6 29.0 Mar-08 42052.0 38339.7 37950.6 38627.7 31200.0 38360.7 30.0 Apr-08 43468.0 39366.0 40328.8 39363.8 31200.0 39099.0 31.0 May-08 48318.0 40995.0 42442.9 40046.3 31200.0 39972.8 32.0 Jun-08 49872.0 44612.7 46236.4 41476.2 31200.0 41641.8 33.0 Jul-08 51415.0 47219.3 48765.4 43292.7 31200.0 43287.9 34.0 Aug-08 48649.0 49868.3 50642.4 45431.7 31200.0 44913.3 35.0 Sep-08 44667.0 49978.7 49601.1 47295.7 31200.0 45660.4 36.0 Oct-08 40010.0 48243.7 46536.4 47731.5 31200.0 45461.7 37.0 Nov-08 29284.0 44442.0 42271.0 47155.2 31200.0 44371.4 38.0 Dec-08 25585.0 37987.0 34040.1 43982.8 31200.0 41353.9 39.0 Jan-09 25604.0 31626.3 28137.2 39935.0 31200.0 38200.1 40.0 Feb-09 24633.0 26824.3 25966.3 35633.2 31200.0 35680.9 41.0 Mar-09 27204.0 25274.0 25019.5 31630.5 31200.0 33471.3 42.0 Apr-09 28066.0 25813.7 26272.7 28720.0 31200.0 32217.9 43.0 May-09 31384.0 26634.3 27464.1 26729.3 31200.0 31387.5 44.0 Jun-09 34232.0 28884.7 29970.6 27079.3 31200.0 31386.8 45.0 Jul-09 34558.0 31227.3 32761.0 28520.5 31200.0 31955.8 46.0 Aug-09 35153.0 33391.3 34142.8 30012.8 31200.0 32476.3 47.0 Sep-09 32673.0 34647.7 34882.4 31766.2 31200.0 33011.6 48.0 Oct-09 33276.0 34128.0 33605.5 32677.7 31200.0 32943.9 49.0 Nov-09 32707.0 33700.7 33282.8 33546.0 31200.0 33010.3 50.0 Dec-09 33599.0 32885.3 32874.3 33766.5 31200.0 32949.6 51.0 Jan-10 32618.0 33194.0 33299.133299....
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This note was uploaded on 03/01/2011 for the course ARE 157 taught by Professor Whitney during the Spring '08 term at UC Davis.

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157hwk2excelkey - problem 1a Gasoline sales-447 FORECASTS...

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