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# Exam1_Answers_06c - E SE 301 Engineering P robability F i...

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ESE 301 Engineering Probability First Exam Answers, October 12, 2006 1. Desired probability is no more than 0.67 using Markov’s Inequality which we haven’t come to yet. 2. 3 over (49 choose 6) 3. The three conditional probabilities are 14/41, 12/41, and 15/41. 4. Let alpha = P(guilt). Then P(jury correct) = alpha * P(jury decides guilty |guilty) + (1-alpha) * P(jury decides innocent |innocence). The two probabilities are binomial summations: P(jury decides guilty |
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