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< previous page page_177 next page > Page 177 and annotated with questions for which answers are sought in the situation itself. For example, "Does this activity exist in the real world?" "How well is it done?", etc. Third is the idea of scenario writing, a dry run on paper describing how the system captured in the conceptual model is expected to behave into the future (a sort of immensely "weak" qualitative system dynamics simulation). The output which is the scenario, it is suggested, can be compared to any knowledge of such events in the past by those in the problem situation. Fourth, a model of the part of reality similar to the model can be constructed, with a view to mapping between the two which might highlight significant differences worthy of discussion. These four means of comparison naturally lead on to, or integrate with, the process of defining changes. 8.4.6 Stage 6: Defining Changes
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The carrying out of "model- reality" comparisons inevitably involves consideration of
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This note was uploaded on 04/21/2011 for the course MGT 03 taught by Professor Kasra during the Spring '11 term at Tanta University.

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