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Unformatted text preview: fragile agreement Process Effects: Resources rich, create win sets, opportunities promotes agreement duration KEYS: 1) Selection not cause tough cases identify cases more likely to fail 2) Failure to identifu selection leads to false inferences about process effects CAMP DAVID ACCORDS: 1) Conflict management frequently fails: 75% fail 2) Peace since 1979 Mediated ppowerful mediator directive strategy Selection: tougher disputes fragile agreements 1) 30 yrs long time 2) Stabilitiy is a function of mediation efforts 3) Mediation effot also reflects depth dispute 4) US critical in post Mubarak regime...
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- Spring '08