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Lecture4_11(2)

Lecture4_11(2) - Click to edit Master subtitle style Policy...

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Unformatted text preview: Click to edit Master subtitle style 5/29/11 Policy Adoption Chapter 4 May 23rd 5/29/11 Policy Formation Problem Definitions � policy Options Setting the Agenda Political Environment Adoption*** Implementation Evaluation/Impact 5/29/11 Today… • How do we make decisions? – Review of the Rational Comprehensive Model – Incremental model – Prediction Models – Game Theory and the Prisoner’s Dilemma 5/29/11 Review of the Rational • Process of weighing the costs and benefits of all problems and options to find the most efficient choice • Optimizing among a set of options • Costs in the Model (4) • Criticisms? 5/29/11 The Incremental Model • Views public policy formulation as a continuation of past govt activity and decisions with only minor modifications • Pt = Pt-1 + I + e • Characterizes many budgetary policies • Always Critics… 5/29/11 Why is so much Policy • Fear and uncertainty of non-incremental changes • Bounded Rationality • Satisficing • Concerns over political feasibility • Sunk costs • Separation of powers 5/29/11 New Problems and Incrementalism • Search Processes (4) – Experiential – Comparative – Advocacy – Analogical 5/29/11 Prediction Models 5/29/11 5/29/11 5/29/11 5/29/11 Game Theory • Attempts to mathematically capture behavior in strategic situations • Find equilibria – Nash Equilibria • http://movieclips.com/gx3fc-a-beautiful-mind-m • Extensive form games - ordered • Normal form games - simultaneous 5/29/11 Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate A Candidate B 5/29/11 Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate A Candidate B 5/29/11 Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate A Candidate B 5/29/11 Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run Run Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate A Candidate B 5/29/11 Run Don’t Run...
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  • Spring '08
  • staff
  • United States Senate, Stay Quiet                             Rat, Run           Don’t, n’t Run

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