Assignment 3 - CE93 Engineering Data Analysis Joan Walker,...

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CE93 Engineering Data Analysis Joan Walker, Spring 2011 Assignment 3 Due 2/16/2011 11:10 AM 1. There is an active earthquake fault in the middle of the Indian Ocean. Within the next 50 years, there is a 10% chance that a major earthquake will occur on this fault. There are some populated towns on the east coast of Mauritius, as well as on the west coast of Australia (e.g. the city of Perth). Significant damage will occur to either one of these populated areas if a major earthquake occurs AND if it causes tidal waves in its direction. Suppose that, in the event of an Indian Ocean earthquake, there is a 4% chance of an eastbound tidal wave occurring (towards Australia), and a slightly higher chance (5%) of a westbound tidal wave occurring (towards Mauritius). However, if an eastbound tidal wave occurs as a result of the earthquake, the probability of a westbound tidal wave also occurring increases to 15%. Consider the period over the next 50 years. a.
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Assignment 3 - CE93 Engineering Data Analysis Joan Walker,...

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