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Apr 21 - The Future Prediction is a risky business...

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The Future
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“Prediction is a risky business…
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Especially when we’re talking about the future!” Mark Twain
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What are the trends? Transnational problems: terrorism, disease, poverty, ethnic conflicts, environmental degradation Globalization of trade, finance, and labor Unipolar: one dominant power Increasing global inequality Widespread acceptance of democracy Erosion of the power of sovereign states
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Terrorism The rise of non-state actors Non-traditional tactics/targets Goals are unclear
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Terrorism: Solutions ? Military? Diplomacy? Addressing root causes? Strengthening weak and failing states? Domestic implications, human rights
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Globalization More economic activity occurs across borders than within states Reduces ability of states to manage their economies Who is going to manage the global economy?
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Unipolarity Good or bad? The issues we face require cooperation and multilateral approaches…..
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