Lecture4_11(3)

Lecture4_11(3) - Policy Adoption Chapter 4 Click to edit...

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Click to edit Master subtitle style  7/7/11 Policy Adoption Chapter 4 May 23rd 
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 7/7/11 Policy Formation Problem Definitions   policy Options Setting the Agenda Political Environment Adoption*** Implementation Evaluation/Impact
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 7/7/11 Today… How do we make decisions? Review of the Rational Comprehensive Model Incremental model Prediction Models Game Theory and the Prisoner’s Dilemma
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 7/7/11 Review of the Rational  Process of weighing the costs and benefits of  all problems and options to find the most  efficient choice Optimizing among a set of options Costs in the Model (4)  Criticisms?
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 7/7/11 The Incremental Model Views public policy formulation as a  continuation of past govt activity and decisions  with only minor modifications Pt = Pt-1 +  I  + e Characterizes many budgetary policies Always Critics…
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 7/7/11 Why is so much Policy  Fear and uncertainty of non-incremental  changes Bounded Rationality Satisficing Concerns over political feasibility Sunk costs Separation of powers
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 7/7/11 New Problems and Incrementalism Search Processes (4) Experiential Comparative Advocacy Analogical 
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 7/7/11 Prediction Models 
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 7/7/11
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 7/7/11
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 7/7/11
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 7/7/11 Game Theory Attempts to mathematically capture behavior  in strategic situations Find equilibria – Nash Equilibria http://movieclips.com/gx3fc-a-beautiful-mind-m   Extensive form games - ordered Normal form games - simultaneous
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 7/7/11 Run Don’t Run Run           Don’t Run Run            Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate   A Candidate   B
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 7/7/11 Run Don’t Run Run           Don’t Run Run            Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate   A Candidate   B
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 7/7/11 Run Don’t Run Run           Don’t Run Run            Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate   A Candidate   B
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 7/7/11 Run Don’t Run Run           Don’t Run Run            Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate   A Candidate   B
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 7/7/11 Run   Don’t Run Run           Don’t Run Run            Don’t Run 50, 50 50, 0 0, 50 0, 0 Candidate   A Candidate   B
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 7/7/11 2 2 1 8 8 5 5 Rat Out                              Stay Quiet Stay Quiet                             Rat Out Suspect 2 Suspect 1 1
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 7/7/11 2 2 1 8 8 5 5 Rat Out                              Stay Quiet Stay Quiet                             Rat Out Suspect 2 Suspect 1 1 2 1
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Lecture4_11(3) - Policy Adoption Chapter 4 Click to edit...

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