Copy of Otway_Spreadsheet-2_week_8

Copy of Otway_Spreadsheet-2_week_8 - Otway Epidemic Model...

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Unformatted text preview: Otway Epidemic Model Hospital Beds Initial Sick Population Average Contacts Infection Probility Recovery Time Simulation Time Time Period 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 200 1 100,000 5 0.2 2.5 1 Hospital Hospitalised Susceptible Beds 200 0 99,999 200 0 99,998 200 0 99,996 200 0 99,994 200 0 99,990 200 0 99,983 200 0 99,973 200 0 99,956 200 0 99,929 200 1 99,886 200 1 99,818 200 2 99,708 200 3 99,533 200 4 99,254 200 7 98,811 200 11 98,108 200 18 96,999 200 28 95,265 200 44 92,593 200 66 88,559 200 99 82,673 200 141 74,509 200 190 64,012 200 235 51,881 200 263 39,689 200 262 29,253 200 234 21,586 200 191 16,536 200 146 13,380 200 107 11,425 200 77 10,201 200 54 9,420 Sick ImmuneEncounters Infection Rate 1 0 5 1 2 0 8 2 3 1 13 3 4 2 20 4 7 4 33 7 The Ot 10 6 52 10 17 11 84 17 300 27 17 134 27 43 28 214 43 250 69 69 45 343 110 73 548 110 175 116 874 175 200 280 187 1,394 279 447 299 2,218 444 150 712 477 3,516 703 1,130 762 5,544 1,109 1,787 1,214 8,667 1,733 100 2,806 1,929 13,364 2,673 4,356 3,051 20,167 4,033 50 6,647 4,794 29,433 5,887 9,875 7,452 40,819 8,164 0 14,089 11,402 52,487 10,497 3 18,950 17,038 60,653 12,131 7 11 15 19 23 27 31 3 23,501 24,618 60,962 12,192 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 1 26,293 34,018 52,177 10,435 26,211 44,536 38,338 7,668 23,394 55,020 25,249 5,050 19,086 64,378 15,780 3,156 14,608 72,012 9,773 1,955 10,719 77,855 6,124 1,225 7,656 82,143 3,905 781 5,375 85,206 2,531 506 People 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 37 26 18 12 8 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,913 8,581 8,360 8,213 8,114 8,047 8,002 7,971 7,951 7,937 7,927 7,921 7,916 7,913 7,911 7,910 7,909 7,908 7,908 7,908 7,908 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 3,731 2,571 1,763 1,205 822 560 381 259 176 120 81 55 38 25 17 12 8 5 4 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 87,356 88,848 89,877 90,582 91,064 91,393 91,617 91,769 91,873 91,944 91,991 92,024 92,046 92,061 92,071 92,078 92,083 92,086 92,088 92,090 92,091 92,091 92,092 92,092 92,092 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 1,663 1,103 737 495 334 225 152 103 70 48 32 22 15 10 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 333 221 147 99 67 45 30 21 14 10 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 7,907 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 92,093 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Recovery Rate 0 1 1 2 3 4 The Otway Epidemic 7 11 17 27 44 70 112 179 285 452 715 1,122 1,742 2,659 3,950 5,635 3 7 11 15 19 23 27 31 35 39 43 47 51 55 59 63 67 71 75 79 83 87 91 95 7,580 1 5 9 9,400 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93 13 17 21 10,517 Time Period 10,484 9,358 7,635 5,843 4,288 3,063 2,150 People 1,492 1,028 705 482 329 224 152 104 70 48 33 22 15 10 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
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  • Three '11
  • Rob
  • Time Period, Prime number, Otway Epidemic, Population Average Contacts, Otway Epidemic Model, Infection Probility Recovery

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