Otway_Model_slides-3_week_8

Otway_Model_slides-3_week_8 - The Otway Epidemic Model...

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Centre for Decision Support & Enterprise Systems Research The Otway Epidemic Model
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Centre for Decision Support & Enterprise Systems Research 2 The Otway Epidemic Model Susceptible Sick Immune Infection Recovery Hospitalised Recovery Time Infect Prob Population Average Contacts Encounters Hospital Beds
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Centre for Decision Support & Enterprise Systems Research 3 The Otway Epidemic
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Centre for Decision Support & Enterprise Systems Research 4 The Otway Epidemic 0.00 7.50 15.00 22.50 30.00 Time 16:02   3/12/1995 Page 2 1: 1: 1: 2: 2: 2: 0.00 250.00 500.00 >1 1< 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
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Centre for Decision Support & Enterprise Systems Research 5 The Otway Epidemic: Spreadsheet-based DSS Otway Epidemic Model Hospital Beds 200 Initial Sick 1 Population 100,000 Average Contacts 5 Infection Probility 0.2 Recovery Time 2.5 Simulation Time 1 Time Hospital Hospitalised Susceptible Sick Immune Encounters Infection Recovery Period Beds Rate Rate 0 200 0 99,999 1 0 5 1 0 1 200 0 99,998 2 0 8 2 1 2 200 0 99,996 3 1 13 3 1 3 200 0 99,994 4 2 20 4 2 4 200 0 99,990 7 4 33 7 3 5 200 0 99,983 10
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Otway_Model_slides-3_week_8 - The Otway Epidemic Model...

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