NFL2007a - 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45...

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Unformatted text preview: 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 f(x) = 1.05x - 0.38 f(x) = 0.86x + 4.08 Actual Score versus Odds Makers Predictions Home Linear Regression for Home Away Linear Regression for Away Predicted Score Actual Score 10 20 30 40 50 60 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 f(x) = 1.05x - 0.38 f(x) = 0.86x + 4.08 Actual Score versus Vegas "Forecast" Home Linear Regression for Home Away Linear Regression for Away Vegas "Forecast" Actual Score 10 20 30 40 50 60 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Home Away-32-28-24-20-16-12-8-4 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 More 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Histogram e(2) Frequency X0=Intercept X1=Vegas Y=observed Y-hat Y-Bar SSLF 1 11 7 12.03 7 25.27 1 11.25 10 12.27 11.5 0.6 1 11.25 13 12.27 11.5 0.6 1 11.5 17 12.52 17 20.11 1 12 7 13 7 36.05 1 12.75 3 13.74 3 115.27 1 13 30 13.98 20.5 42.5 1 13 11 13.98 20.5 42.5 1 13.25 10 14.22 10 17.85 1 13.5 7 14.47 3.5 120.32 1 13.5 14.47 3.5 120.32 1 13.75 20 14.71 17.67 8.72 1 13.75 23 14.71 17.67 8.72 1 13.75 3 14.71 17.67 8.72 1 13.75 17 14.71 17.67 8.72 1 13.75 37 14.71 17.67 8.72 1 13.75 6 14.71 17.67 8.72 1 14 3 14.96 6.33 74.37 1 14 6 14.96 6.33 74.37 1 14 10 14.96 6.33 74.37 1 14.25 16 15.2 18 7.83 1 14.25 24 15.2 18 7.83 1 14.25 14 15.2 18 7.83 1 14.25 20 15.2 18 7.83 1 14.25 28 15.2 18 7.83 1 14.25 6 15.2 18 7.83 1 14.5 7 15.45 9.25 38.39 1 14.5 14 15.45 9.25 38.39 1 14.5 9 15.45 9.25 38.39 1 14.5 7 15.45 9.25 38.39 1 14.75 7 15.69 12 13.62 1 14.75 17 15.69 12 13.62 1 15 13 15.93 16 1 15 17 15.93 16 1 15 21 15.93 16 1 15 35 15.93 16 1 15 15.93 16 1 15 10 15.93 16 1 15.25 10 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 35 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 13 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 17 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 15 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 28 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 22 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.25 6 16.18 18.25 4.29 1 15.5 13 16.42 14.6 3.32 1 15.5 13 16.42 14.6 3.32 1 15.5 34 16.42 14.6 3.32 1 15.5 6 16.42 14.6 3.32 1 15.5 7 16.42 14.6 3.32 1 15.75 19 16.67 23 40.11 1 15.75 24 16.67 23 40.11 1 15.75 24 16.67 23 40.11 1 15.75 10 16.67 23 40.11 1 15.75 34 16.67 23 40.11 1 15.75 27 16.67 23 40.11 1 16 19 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 21 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 27 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 10 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 19 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 7 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 20 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 23 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 17 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 14 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16 7 16.91 16.73 0.03 1 16.25 7 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 20 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 7 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 7 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 7 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 13 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 28 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 23 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 13 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.25 7 17.15 13.2 15.64 1 16.5 35 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 20 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 20 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 10 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 27 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 37 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.5 13 17.4 20.25 8.13 1 16.75 14 17.64 14.8 8.08 1 16.75 10 17.64 14.8 8.08 1 16.75 3 17.64 14.8 8.08 1 16.75 20 17.64 14.8 8.08 1 16.75 7 17.64 14.8 8.08 1 16.75 14 17.64 14.8 8.08 1...
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NFL2007a - 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45...

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