World_Politics_Lecture_Slides_November18th

World_Politics_Lecture_Slides_November18th - Strategies of...

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Unformatted text preview: Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? POLSC 333: World Politics Combating Terrorism Dr. Amanda Murdie November 18th POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Thanksgiving If you don't have Thanksgiving plans, you are welcome to eat with my family! Noon on Thursday Just let me know POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Events for Extra Credit Today (November 18th) at 4:00 pm in K-State Student Union 212 Sudanese Lost Boys Monday after Thanksgiving (November 29th) Dr. Georges Nzongola-Ntalaja (UNC Chapel Hill) - "The Future of Democracy and Development in Africa" 4:30 to 6:00PM in Town Hall (Leadership Studies building) POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Icebreaker Question Is the War on Terror like the war on drugs? Can it be won? Is it being won? POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Are We Winning the War on Terror? 2006, survey of national security experts POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Are We Winning the War on Terror? POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Are We Winning the War on Terror? From Rasmussen Reports POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Political Science Lingo - Null Events and Counterfactuals Knowing whether we are winning the war or terror is a very di cult question to look at with social science with states and interstate peace - easy to know if something causes peace - we know the number of null events , we know what the counterfactual is we can say after policy X, less con ict What makes it hard to say that with War on Terror? Hard to know how many possible terrorist attacks not carried out, how many groups not formed Israel has experienced a substantial reduction in terrorist incidents since 2002 The US only had 7 terror incidents 2004-2006: No signi cant attacks since 9/11. Europe has experienced more deadly attacks, but has disrupted many more US policies created more terrorist attacks than before 9/11 is this similar to war on drugs? POLSC 333: World Politics Strategies of Terrorism Can Terrorism Be Prevented? Political Science Lingo - Null Events and Counterfactuals Knowing whether we are winning the war or terror is a very di cult question to look at with social science with states and interstate peace - easy to know if something causes peace - we know the number of null events , we know what the counterfactual is we can say after policy X, less con ict What makes it hard to say that with War on Terror? Hard to know how many possible terrorist attacks not carried out, how many groups not formed Israel has experienced a substantial reduction in terrorist incidents since 2002 The US only had 7 terror incidents 2004-2006: No signi cant attacks since 9/11. Europe has experienced more deadly attacks, but has disrupted many more US policies created more terrorist attacks than before 9/11 is this similar to war on drugs?...
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World_Politics_Lecture_Slides_November18th - Strategies of...

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