WP_Lecture_9 - Domestic Democratic Institutions and War...

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Unformatted text preview: Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Onset Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Fighting Domestic Democratizing Institutions What Leads to Democracy? What about Authoritarian Regimes? POLSC 333: World Politics Democratic Peace Theory 1 Dr. Amanda Murdie September 23rd 1 As Close to Empirical Law as We Get POLSC 333: World Politics Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Onset Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Fighting Domestic Democratizing Institutions What Leads to Democracy? What about Authoritarian Regimes? Goals for Today 1 Outline how domestic institutional arrangements impact war and peace 1 democratic peace theory 1 empirical regularity 2 theoretical explanations POLSC 333: World Politics Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Onset Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Fighting Domestic Democratizing Institutions What Leads to Democracy? What about Authoritarian Regimes? Icebreaker Could golf spread peace? Golf is a non-zero sum game - diminishes con ict POLSC 333: World Politics Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Onset Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Fighting Domestic Democratizing Institutions What Leads to Democracy? What about Authoritarian Regimes? Golf and War Hypothesis: Gol ng nations never go to war with each other How to test this hypothesis? I'll De ne gol ng/non-gol ng nations as 1 course per million of population Check the war involvement of gol ng nations: never on opposite sides of a war. Exceptions: 1) Britain vs. Argentina (prob. Fewer golf courses in 1982) and Northern Ireland (Basques in Spain?) 2) South Africa. POLSC 333: World Politics Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Onset Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Fighting Domestic Democratizing Institutions What Leads to Democracy? What about Authoritarian Regimes? Golf and War - Criticisms? Criticism: many violent games are also played in gol ng countries. At what level of analysis does the theory work? Leaders, population in general, environmental? Leaders in non-gol ng country often play golf but it does not inhibit con ict there? Most people in gol ng states don't play golf! other criticisms? POLSC 333: World Politics Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Onset Domestic Democratic Institutions and War Fighting Domestic Democratizing Institutions What Leads to Democracy? What about Authoritarian Regimes? #1 Criticism - Spurious Correlation Spurious Correlation - DEFINITION: relationship that could occur in the absence of any real organic or causal link between the variables, typically due to a third unseen or unaccounted for factor Golf occurs mainly in wealthy countries! Could it just be developed countries? Countries with a history of British rule?...
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WP_Lecture_9 - Domestic Democratic Institutions and War...

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