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Unformatted text preview: CE93-Engineering Data Analysis Mark Hansen, Fall 2009 Assignment 4 Solutions 1. Earthquakes and tidal waves Define everything: Probability of earthquake = P(E) = 0.01 Probability of eastbound tidal wave given that earthquake happens = P(T E |E) = 0.03 Probability of westbound tidal wave given that earthquake happens = P(T W |E) = 0.04 Probability of westbound tidal wave given eastbound tidal wave occurs = P(T W |T E ) = 0.15 Probability of damage to Mauritius = P(D M ) Probability of damage to Australia = P(D A ) a) gG gG gG u gG UU UU UUUU b) gG gG gG gG gG gG gG gG gG gG gG gG gG u gG gG gG gG u gG u gG UUUU UUUU U UU UU UUUU...
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- Fall '10