Its Fourth and Two - b. Miss: 0 and ball on 2 States of...

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Its Fourth and Two: Dynamic Sports Modeling 13/01/2010 10:29:00 Rational Decisions Easy Ball on the @, 1 sec left, UM 26 - MSU 22 1) Go For It Score: 28-26 WIN Fail: 26-22 LOSSS 2)  FG Make: 26-25 Loss Miss: 26-22 LOSS Rational Decisions Hard Ball on 2. 55 min remaining, no score 1) Go For TD a. (.4) Make: +7 and kickoff    (.4 * 7 = 2.8 pts average) b. Miss: 0 and ball on 2 2) Go For FG a. (.95) Make: +3 and kickoff  (.95 * 3 = 2.85 pts average)
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Unformatted text preview: b. Miss: 0 and ball on 2 States of Play in Football Score Possession Yard line Down and distance Time remaining Time outs Injuries Transition Probability Probability of moving from one state to another Value How many points its worth to leave the opponents on the 2, rather than kick off 13/01/2010 10:29:00 13/01/2010 10:29:00...
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This note was uploaded on 10/17/2011 for the course ISS 328 taught by Professor Martin during the Spring '10 term at Michigan State University.

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Its Fourth and Two - b. Miss: 0 and ball on 2 States of...

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