412FC-Trend10fall

412FC-Trend10fall - 3.755 14.1 76.721 0.81 74.803 3.2...

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Forecasting Trend- Temperatures Linear Trend Line (Regression) Trend Adjusted Exponential Smoothing Trend Adjusted Exponential Smoothing alpha beta alpha beta 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.2 TimeTemp XY XX ForecastErrorAbsoluteSquareSmoothTrendForecas ErrorAbsolut SquareSmoothTrendForecas Error AbsoluteSquare 1 72 72 1 72 0 0 0 72 0 72 0 2 74 148 4 73.8 0.2 0.2 0.04 73 0.1 73.2 0.24 3 75 225 9 75.6 -0.6 0.6 0.36 74.05 0.2 73.1 1.9 1.9 3.61 74.376 0.43 73.44 1.56 1.56 2.434 4 78 312 16 77.4 0.6 0.6 0.36 76.123 0.38 74.245 3.76
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Unformatted text preview: 3.755 14.1 76.721 0.81 74.803 3.2 3.1968 10.22 5 79 395 25 79.2 -0.2 0.2 0.04 77.753 0.51 76.505 2.49 2.4948 6.224 78.413 0.99 77.532 1.47 1.4679 2.155 ______________ _____ __________ _____ __________ _____ ___________ _____ 15 378 1152 55 ### 1.6 0.8 8.15 8.1498 23.93 6.22 6.2247 14.81 MAD MSE MAD MSE MAD MSE b-top 18 0.32 0.16 2.7166 7.978 2.0749 4.936 b-botto 10 b= 1.8 a= 70.2...
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This note was uploaded on 10/19/2011 for the course DS 412 taught by Professor Eng during the Spring '07 term at S.F. State.

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